Autonomy Risk Countdown
This site is a public monitor for autonomous systems risk. It estimates when current trends in AI capability, military integration, human oversight, governance, and real-world incidents could converge into a high-risk autonomy threshold where meaningful human control begins to break down.
What This Site Tracks
- Frontier AI capability and multi-agent autonomy
- Military and institutional integration of autonomous systems
- Human override capacity and governance enforcement gaps
- Current incidents, source-backed evaluations, and estimated risk horizons
What Visitors Can See
- A live countdown to the model's current estimated risk horizon
- A recent incident feed with source links
- A history of past evaluations and how the estimate has shifted over time
- Underlying model notes, indicators, and projection details
The interactive version of the monitor is available at https://ctrl-c.nl/autonomy-risk/.
A crawler-friendly summary is also available at summary.html and summary.txt.